Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001985 0.002106 0.002231 0.002371 0.002522 0.002681 0.002861
2025-05-11 0.001851 0.002027 0.002217 0.002438 0.002688 0.002965 0.003296
2025-05-18 0.001730 0.001939 0.002173 0.002453 0.002784 0.003164 0.003636
2025-05-25 0.001602 0.001829 0.002088 0.002408 0.002796 0.003256 0.003848
2025-06-01 0.001509 0.001750 0.002030 0.002384 0.002825 0.003362 0.004075
2025-06-08 0.001451 0.001706 0.002009 0.002401 0.002899 0.003522 0.004375
2025-06-15 0.001381 0.001644 0.001961 0.002377 0.002918 0.003611 0.004584
2025-06-22 0.001324 0.001593 0.001922 0.002362 0.002945 0.003707 0.004806
2025-06-29 0.001269 0.001542 0.001880 0.002339 0.002958 0.003783 0.005001
2025-07-06 0.001216 0.001490 0.001834 0.002307 0.002955 0.003834 0.005162
2025-07-13 0.001153 0.001423 0.001765 0.002241 0.002902 0.003814 0.005214
2025-07-20 0.001128 0.001403 0.001758 0.002257 0.002962 0.003951 0.005508
2025-07-27 0.001110 0.001396 0.001768 0.002302 0.003071 0.004177 0.005967
2025-08-03 0.001100 0.001398 0.001793 0.002369 0.003215 0.004464 0.006550
2025-08-10 0.001073 0.001376 0.001783 0.002384 0.003285 0.004644 0.006976
2025-08-17 0.001028 0.001328 0.001734 0.002341 0.003264 0.004679 0.007163
2025-08-24 0.000993 0.001292 0.001700 0.002318 0.003271 0.004759 0.007432
2025-08-31 0.000972 0.001275 0.001692 0.002334 0.003338 0.004938 0.007889
2025-09-07 0.000941 0.001242 0.001661 0.002311 0.003343 0.005015 0.008167
2025-09-14 0.000915 0.001215 0.001636 0.002297 0.003360 0.005112 0.008490
2025-09-21 0.000888 0.001185 0.001607 0.002275 0.003363 0.005184 0.008770
2025-09-28 0.000859 0.001153 0.001573 0.002243 0.003348 0.005223 0.008990
2025-10-05 0.000824 0.001110 0.001520 0.002180 0.003278 0.005160 0.008999